Haralabos Voulgaris (sprich: [ɹælæbos wʉlgæræs]) ist ein professioneller Pokerspieler aus Kanada, der bis dato zehn Events der World. In der neusten Folge des Poker Life Podcast mit Joseph „joeingram1“ Ingram ist Sportwettenprofi Haralabos Voulgaris zu Gast. In einem wirklich beeindruckenden Blog erzählt der kanadische Highroller und Sportwetter Haralabos Voulgaris über seine Erfahrungen mit FullTilt Poker, Ray.
Poker Life Podcast mit Sportwetten-Pro Haralabos VoulgarisHaralabos „Bob“ Voulgaris (* 7. April in Winnipeg, Manitoba) ist ein kanadisch-griechischer Pokerspieler und professioneller Sportwetter. Haralabos Voulgaris Poker Spieler Profil. Die aktuellsten Informationen, Gewinne und Galerie. Bob Voulgaris built a reputation for his expertise on -- and criticisms of -- coaches' strategies and referees' individual tendencies. He drew a faithful following on.
Bob Voulgaris Navigation menu VideoSSAC13: Predictive Sports Betting Born Haralabos Voulgaris in , Bob Voulgaris is a Greek Canadian sports bettor and poker player that is a pro in sports betting. Unlike many professional gamblers, Voulgaris enjoys the limelight, and he’s embraced the fame that’s come with his legendary NBA exploits. Haralabos "Bob" Voulgaris (born April 7, ) is a Greek Canadian former professional gambler, primarily a sports bettor and current Director of Quantitative Research and Development for the Dallas Mavericks. Voulgaris was considered one of the most prolific NBA sports bettors in the world. Voulgaris has long been a minor celebrity among a certain subset of NBA fans, amassing , Twitter followers and making numerous appearances on Bill Simmons’s podcasts. He hit his first jackpot. In October of , Dallas hired former professional sports bettor Bob Voulgaris as its Director of Quantitative Research and Development. "For years, Voulgaris made a living betting on NBA games. I am Haralabos Voulgaris (@haralabob) AMA. comments. share. save hide report. 91% Upvoted. This thread is archived. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot.
At that period, he thought that it would last forever. According to the sports bettor, this was a real disaster for him.
In the NBA season, in just a month, he lost a third of his money. Vulgaris analyzed the situation and came to the conclusion that it would be necessary to change his approach.
The first computer program to predict sports matches was created in Vulgaris knew about all the research in this area and always dreamt of coming up with his own mathematical model of the game.
He needed a program to calculate all the matches of the NBA championship. Keeping huge amounts of statistical information in mind and calculating everything by himself was already too difficult.
The gambler began looking for a person who would be a talented mathematician and programmer. The search lasted for two years, and he managed to find a real mathematical genius.
He does not reveal his name, calling him "The Whizz". It took two years to create the first version of the program. Vulgaris did not immediately begin to use the program since, according to the tests, Ewing had some drawbacks.
Success came after another secret component was added to the program. It was introduced in , and after that, the program began to produce good results.
Starting triumphantly, the Ewing betting model overtime began to give less and less profit. In , it amounted to only a few percent. According to the well-known gambler, their task is now not so much to improve Ewing but simply not to let it get worse.
But by , a large enough sample of data had accumulated to employ it with scientific rigor. To help him build his model, Voulgaris required a specialist in the field, a mind trained in the codes of statistics, mathematics and computer science.
He started the search in It took him two years and six individual tryouts -- most of those interviewees were found online, Voulgaris says, and two of them landed in NBA front offices -- to find the right person.
The right person was a literal math prodigy. As a preteen, he had won national math contests; he had been the subject of awestruck articles in major newspapers.
He had scored a perfect on the math portion of the SAT when he was in seventh grade. At the time of his interview with Voulgaris, he had just quit a high-paying job designing algorithms for an East Coast hedge fund with a roster of Nobel-grade quant talent.
The relationship got off to a rocky start. To do so, they would have to break the game down into its basic unit, the possession.
Each simulation would therefore be a series of mini-simulations. First, the program would have to predict the number of possessions each matchup would likely produce.
Then it would need to judge the likeliest outcome of each possession: Score or no score; one point, two points or three; micro-forecasts ascertained from historical performance data.
It would also have to take into account a vast number of potential occurrences, each missed shot or successful rebound creating the possibility of still other occurrences -- a garden of explosively forking paths, as if in parallel universes.
The program would run tens of thousands of simulations for each matchup, discarding the most outlandish or improbable results.
It would be a black box -- prophecy as output. Between the statistical analysis, the algorithms and the programming, it took two years to create their first model, version 1.
Voulgaris continued to bet subjectively, marking time until the model was ready. When they finished, they called it Ewing. At some point in the process of breaking the game down into its component parts, they realized that Ewing would also require a kind of feeder model, one that could forecast the lineups a team would most likely use each game and the minutes each player was likely to see on the court.
They called that model Van Gundy. Van Gundy, in turn, required its own feeder tool, one that would track the overall roster patterns for each team, the trades, the draft picks, the midseason player-acquisition tendencies.
That database, less intricate than the other two, they at times jokingly referred to as Morey, as in Daryl Morey, the quant-minded GM of the Rockets.
Ewing, Van Gundy, Morey. Player, coach, GM. The names of each corresponding, of course, to the job of each tool.
Every score the model spit out was higher than the average lines produced by the bookmakers -- the standard by which they would be judging themselves.
The model, in other words, was recommending that Voulgaris bet the over in every single game. After weeks spent poring through code, Voulgaris finally caught the flaw.
In more advanced versions of Ewing, they would jettison this primitive free throw method. The key is to find those scraps that are more predictive than others.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Greek Canadian sports bettor and poker player. Retrieved Article 6: From the most feared sports bettor in the world to prison, Billy Walters.
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